Thailand’s constitutional court is poised to make a crucial decision that could lead to the dismissal of Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin. The ruling follows a complaint from ex-senators appointed by the former military government, who allege that Srettha violated the constitution by appointing a former lawyer with a controversial past to his cabinet.
If Srettha is removed, the 500-seat parliament will need to select a new prime minister, sparking further political uncertainties in a country marked by a history of coups and government dismissals. This decision comes shortly after the dissolution of the popular opposition party Move Forward Party, further complicating the political landscape.
Despite denying any wrongdoing, Srettha faces the possibility of being ousted from office. Deputy premier Phumtham Wechayachai would step in as caretaker if Srettha is removed. Political experts predict that Srettha’s party, Pheu Thai, still holds significant influence and could lead the next administration after a period of transition.
The uncertainty surrounding the leadership change also impacts Thailand’s economy, which Srettha has struggled to revitalize. The stock market has seen a decline this year, and economic growth is estimated at just 2.7% for 2024, lagging behind regional peers.
If Srettha is ousted, potential candidates for the prime ministerial seat include influential figures like Paetongtarn Shinawatra, daughter of billionaire Thaksin Shinawatra, and former army chief Prawit Wongsuwon. Despite the challenges ahead, experts believe that the government’s coalition will remain intact in the short term, ensuring stability amidst the political upheaval.
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